Climate Change and Biodiversity in Melanesia (CCBM): Assessing Vulnerability of Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems to Projected Climate Change

Title: Projected Change in Sea-Surface Temperatures for Melanesia Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map illustrating the projected yearly average change in sea-surface temperatures over Melanesia from the present to 2080.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2040 - 2050. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2040-2050 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2060-2070. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2060 - 2070. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2060 - 2070. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2050 - 2060. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2050 - 2060. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2050-2060 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2060 - 2070) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2060 – 2070 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2030 - 2040) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2030 – 2040 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2080 - 2090) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2080 – 2090 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2060-2070 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2070 - 2080. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.2 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2080 - 2090) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2080 – 2090 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2070-2080 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2070-2080. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2010 - 2030) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2010 – 2030 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2050-2060. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2010-2020 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2030-2040. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2020 - 2030. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2010 - 2020. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2030 - 2040. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2040-2050. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2050 - 2060) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2050 – 2060 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2040 - 2050) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2040 – 2050 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2030 - 2040) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2030 – 2040 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2020 - 2030. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2030 - 2040. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2080 - 2090) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2080-2090. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2060 - 2070) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2060 – 2070 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2070 - 2080) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2070 – 2080 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2030-2040 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2020-2030 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2010-2020. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2070 - 2080. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2020-2030. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2040 - 2050. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2010 - 2020. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2050 - 2060) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2050 – 2060 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2040 - 2050) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2040 – 2050 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2010 - 2030) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2010 – 2030 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2070 - 2080) Author: Stephen J. Leisz Comments: This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2070 – 2080 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Change in Sea-Surface Temperatures for Melanesia
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map illustrating the projected yearly average change in sea-surface temperatures over Melanesia from the present to 2080.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2040 - 2050. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2040-2050 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2060-2070. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2060 - 2070. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2050 - 2060. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2050-2060 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2060 - 2070)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2060 – 2070 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2030 - 2040)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2030 – 2040 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2080 - 2090)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2080 – 2090 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2060 - 2070)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2060-2070 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2070 - 2080. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.2 degree Celsius region boundaries.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2080 - 2090)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2080 – 2090 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2070-2080 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2070 - 2080)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2070-2080. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2010 - 2030)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2010 – 2030 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2050 - 2060)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2050-2060. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2010-2020 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2030-2040. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2020 - 2030. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2010 - 2020. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface.

Title: Projected Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the decade 2030 - 2040. Surface temperature refers to the temperature in the 2 meter area above the earth's surface. This map includes isolines illustrating 0.1 degree Celsius region boundaries.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2040 - 2050)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2040-2050. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2050 - 2060)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2050 – 2060 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2040 - 2050)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2040 – 2050 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2030 - 2040)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2030 – 2040 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2080 - 2090)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2080-2090. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2060 - 2070)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2060 – 2070 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2070 - 2080)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2070 – 2080 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2030 - 2040)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2030-2040 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Sea-Surface Temperature Changes for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM projected sea-surface temperature changes for the Melanesia region from the current time period to the 2020-2030 decade. Sea-surface temperature is defined as the average temperature in the top 10 meters of water in the ocean.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2010 - 2020)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2010-2020. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for Melanesia (circa 2020 - 2030)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
Map based on MIROC-HIRES AOGCM illustrating projected number of degree heating weeks for the Melanesia region during the decade 2020-2030. A degree heating week (DHW) is defined as the number of weeks that the maximum temperature is greater than one degree centigrade above the historical annual mean maximum temperature. If DHW is greater that 4 to 5 then widespread bleaching of corals in the area will take place. If DHW is greater than 10 then massive coral mortality will take place.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2050 - 2060)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2050 – 2060 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2040 - 2050)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2040 – 2050 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2010 - 2030)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2010 – 2030 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. It is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Title: Projected Degree Heating Weeks for New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Fiji (circa 2070 - 2080)
Author: Stephen J. Leisz
Comments:
This map shows the projected number of degree heating weeks per year for the period 2070 – 2080 for the area of Melanesia that includes New Caledonia, Vanuatu, and most of Fiji. This map includes isolines illustrating 1o C region boundaries. The map is based on the statistical downscaling of AR4 climate model projections for the Melanesia region. Downscaling of the models results and the calculation of degree heating weeks was done by Dr. Axel Timmermann of the International Pacific Research Center at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.